Three years ago, I predicted FeedBurner would sell-out to Google. Ever since, I've been neglectful of predicting anything for the new year. Here goes. My predictions for the Web in 2010.
- More and more Web 2.0 services that aren't monetizing, like MyBlogLog, will shutdown in 2010.
- Twitter will max-out in 2010 and begin to fade in 2011. Like every other Web 2.0 service that didn't have a business model.
- RSS will become just another Web protocol. Many people will claim it's dead, while unknowingly using software that relies on the protocol to do the research.
- Twitter will finally get purchased by money; Google (very likely), Microsoft (less likely) or large media company turning Internet friendly (not NewsCorp). Twitter has topped out on valuation and can't grow without any revenues.
- Facebook will remain private. They have earnings, never mind revenues. I can see rumors of an IPO in 2011.
- Yahoo! and Microsoft will finally close the deal and merge. Expect a few more executives from Yahoo! to be pushed out first.
- Windows 7 will spur a new (smaller and final) round of desktop applications.
- Software developers who have been focused on creating cool Web 2.0 websites will take jobs writing accounting and financial software to pay the bills.
- Google's Chrome will grow as a Web browser alternative and cut slightly into IE marketshare. Eventually (2011), it'll overtake Firefox as the Windows desktop browser alternative.
- Google or Microsoft and many others will release Facebook knockoffs.
Sounds like a bad year for the Web.
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